Sunday, September 29, 2019

Itchy’s NFL Week 5 Picks Against the Spread

FOR ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY!
In all honesty, this week’s slate of games was kind of difficult. I’m not as consistently good at picking NFL games as I am at picking college football games. But what it does is force me to do more research to try to make the best decisions possible. So with that being said, here’s what I came up with for today’s games.

Chiefs (-6.5) 🔐 @ Lions
This is Patrick Mahomes first NFL game in an indoor stadium. Combine that with the fact that he’s already on pace to throw for over 6,000 yards and it spells trouble for the Lions. A hip injury to Matt Stafford that has is availability questionable further puts Detroit’s chances to keep this game close in doubt. I feel EXTREMELY CONFIDENT that Kansas City will cover this spread. I’m actually surprised that the number isn’t higher considering all the circumstances.


Panthers/Texans: Over 47.5
The Panthers’ offense looks like a rejuvenated unit with Kyle Allen under center in place of the injured Cam Newtow. They put up 413 total yards and 38 points last week. On the flip side, Houston’s offense is averaging a little under 23 point per game, but that includes a 13 point performance against a very good Jags defense. They’ve scored at least 25 points every other week. They’re going against a Panthers defense that has struggled thus far and isnt the same vaunted ‘D’ that we’ve know in the past. Expect both teams to light the scoreboard up.

Falcons vs. Titans (+4.5)
You never really know what Falcons team you’ll get from week to week. They’re like the NFL’s version of Jekyl & Hyde. One thing I do know about this league is that you don’t win games when you turn the ball over. Atlanta has 7 turnovers thus far this season and they’re going up against a very stingy Titans defense that has a knack for taking the ball away from their opponents.. While Tennessee’s offense is somewhat inconsistent at times,, they should be able to pound the ball with Derrick Henry & that’ll set up the playaction pass. Even if the Falcons get a win, I dont see it being by a large margin.


Giants (-3) vs. Redskins
A lot of people are wondering if the Daniel Jones hype is real. That can’t be fully answer after only seeing one game, but one thing is for sure: he’s going up against a Redskins defense that has given up at least 30 points every week. The Skins are looking to avoid their first 0-4 start in 19 years and will play motivated, but it won’t be enough to win on the road.



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