NCAA Week 11 picks ATS

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Host Quentin Bienemy gives his week 11 picks against the spread.

• (9) University of Miami @ Virginia Tech

• UT-San Antonio vs. UT-El Paso

• Western Kentucky University vs. University of Southern Mississippi

• (11) University of Oregon @ Washington State University

NCAA Week 10 Picks Against the Spread

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After a far too long hiatus, we're back with another edition of our weekly picks against the spread for college football (the first one in video form) Check it out below and let us know what y'all think. Happy winnings!

Itchy's NCAAF Week 10 Picks Against the Spread 🏈💵💰🤑

FOR ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE BE ADVISED THAT IF YOU FOLLOW ANY OF THIS ADVICE AND DECIDE TO WAGER ANY MONEY BASED ON ANYTHING WRITTEN IN THIS ARTICLE, YOU DO SO SOLEY AT YOUR OWN RISK. The author of this post is NOT RESPONSIBLE for any potential incurred losses.

Ok, I'm back for another fun (and pocket filling) weekend of college football. This week, there aren't a ton of exciting games to choose from and the lines reflect the mostly ugly matchups. Again, this forces people to think longer and harder before putting their money down, which can sometimes lead to second guessing and losse. Hopefully that won’t be the case with me, so with that being said, lets get into these picks.

Buffalo/Eastern Michigan; over 50

Buffalo has one of the nation's best running games, averaging 221 yards per game on the ground. They've scored a little bit over 26 points per contest while EMU's defense gives up 32 points per game. On the flip side, Eastern Michigan has the 24th ranked passing game in the country and average nearly 28 points per game, while Buffalo's defense gives up 23.4 points. Neither team's defense is particularly good and both offenses rank inside the top 25 in at least one aspect of offense. I don't see why the scoreboard won't be lit up for this one. It should easily go over.


Liberty (-24) vs. UMass

Typically, I wouldn't bet a game like this at such a huge number, especially considering that Liberty DIDN'T get the job done last week against a bad Rutgers team (disclaimer: Rutgers IS bad but they're still in a Power 5 conference). Well this week, Liberty has a chance to redeem themselves and show that they're on the right track. They face an even worse UMass team that has only won one game and all of their defeats have come from average to (other) bad teams. On top of that, they've lost each game by an average of 32 points. Liberty is ARGUABLY the most talented team they'll see all year up to this point. This might get ugly. Lay the points.

Troy (-1) @ Coastal Carolina

Troy has one of the best passing games in the entire country. QB Kaleb Barker averages 309 yards per game (good for 35th in the nation). The Trojans have lost 2 of the last 3 and got gashed for 300 yards on the ground last week, but that was an anomaly against a good Georgia Southern running team. On offense, Coastal Carolina can run the ball but I think Troy will be motivated to show they can stop or at least slow down the run after last week’s embarrassing performance. On the other side of the ball, Coastal can’t stop the run or the pass and they have given up a little bit under 40 points per game over the past month. Look for Troy to win and cover this small spread.

Florida (+6.5) vs Georgia

This is a big rivalry game with HUGE SEC East implications. The winner of this game will most likely represent the Eastern division in the SEC Championship Game in December. Florida's offense, led by Kyle Trask (who has thrown 14 TDs since taking over for injured Felipe Franks) is hitting their stride at the right time. The Gators’ defense will also get back 2 defensive studs - Jabari Zuniga and Johnathan Greenard - that should bolster an already stout defensive unit and I don’t think Georgia has the firepower to pull away from any decent team. I think Florida is better than Georgia this year and they have a very good chance to win this game outright, but to play it 'safe' just take the points.

‘Bargin bin’ picks:

So since this week’s games don’t look appealing, I decided to have a little fun with the schedule. So you know when you go to Walmart and in the entertainment section you see a bin full of old DVDs that are super cheap, well this is kind of a similar concept, except I’ll just have picks instead of DVDs lol. I won’t give any analysis as to why, it’s just basically me eyeballing spreads and totals and picking a winner on the spot. Of course, this won’t count for or against my record. You’re basically just rummaging through a pile to see what you can find

Texas A&M (-38.5) vs. UTSA
Texas A&M/UTSA: over 53
Akron (+6) vs Bowling Green
Notre Dame (-17.5) vs. Virginia Tech
Miami (+3) vs. Florida State
Tulane/Tulsa: over 62.5
Washington/Utah: under 47.5 (this goes against everything I believe in, but hey 🤷🏾‍♂️)
SMU/Memphis: over 70
Fresno/Hawaii: over 69.5

Itchy's NFL Week 7 Picks Against The Spread 🏈💵💰🤑

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Last week, I didn't release any NFL picks. I really got caught up in some other things which prevented me from giving my best at making picks and I didn't want to send y'all out there head first on some dumb ish. That being said, I'm back this week with some winners! Let's get it in.

Jaguars (-4) @ Bengals

Cincinnati has the worst rushing defense in the league and that's bad new for them as Leonard Fournette (the AFC's leading rusher) and the Jags come into town. Gardner Minshew finally looked like a rookie last week against the Saints but I fully expect him to return to himself against a Bengals defense that is also banged up in the secondary and can't get a consistent pass rush to pressure Minshew. The Jags might win this one by 2 TDs or more.

Dolphins (+17) @ Bills

Everybody & their maw knows that Miami isn't good. But this is a terribly huge number to swallow, all things considered. For starters, the total score sits at 39. If you're going to have one team as a 17 point favorite, the total should be somewhere in the mid-to-upper 40s (if not somewhere in the 50s). Furthermore, the Bills' calling card ISN'T offense, as they rank 25th in scoring. Miami is also starting Ryan Fitzpatrick (aka "Fitzmagic") so that should give the Dolphins' offense a spark to keep it within 2.5 TDs. Don't buy into the "bet against Miami every week" hype. At least not this week.

Ravens (+3.5) @ Seahawks

Seattle is 5-1 and are playing at home. When you take a closer look, the only team they’ve played with a winning record, they lost to (Saints).... at home. Additionally, of all of the average to bad teams they beat, the Cardinals (who are horrible) was the only convincing win. Russell Wilson might be the best QB in the league not named Tom Brady or Drew Brees, but he doesn’t have a ton of help and it will show today. The Seahawks’ defense is ranked 25th against the run and Ravens RB Mark Ingram and QB Lamar Jackson will have a field day. The Ravens go into Seattle and win outright.

Itchy's NCAAF Week 8 Picks Against The Spread 🏈💵💰🤑

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If I had my way, this week's picks would be sponsored by Colgate so that I could get the nasty taste of last week's picks out of my mouth. I went 2-3, which isn't the worst, but the games I got wrong, I bombed tremendously. So with that in mind, I started to research a little earlier. My goal for this week is to go at least 4-1 (if not 5-0).

South Carolina vs. Florida (-5.5).11:00 am CST
Both these teams come off very emotional games last week: South Carolina pulling off what might be the upset of the year vs. Georgia (thanks in large part to 4 turnovers) and Florida pushing LSU to the limit before finally fading late. When this type of scenario occurs, I typically like to take the more talented team. Florida also wants to get the nasty taste of la As mentioned earlier, USC beat Georgia because they got 4 gift-wrapped turnovers. Without that, that game would not have been close. UF quarterback Kyle Trask also showed me a lot by going into a hostile environment last week and passing for over 300 yards. He faces a group of South Carolina DBs that aren't great. They allow 260 yards per game and have given up 11 TDs through the air. USC QB Ryan Hilinski is also doubtful to play after suffering a concussion last week. Florida rolls on the road.

Costal Carolina/Georgia Southern Total Score: Over 45.5. 2:00 CST
This is a pretty low total and both defenses have struggled this season, both giving up over 25 points per game. Georgia Southern has only scored under 20 points once this season and that was against LSU (go figure). Both teams rank in the top 25 in rushing yards, so that is cause for concern for the clock being chewed up, but Coastal Carolina has shown that they can bust games open with long touchdown runs, which I expect at least 2 of vs. a Georgia Southern defense that gives up over 200 yards per game on the ground. As long as these teams don't figure out a way to not score once they get into the red zone, this total should easily go over. Light rain is in the forecast, but both teams are run oriented so the weather should NOT play much of a factor.

LSU (-18.5) @ Mississippi State. 2:30 pm CST
Usually Miss. State gets up for this game and plays LSU pretty tough and close. People may feel like this is a 'trap' game for LSU because they have Auburn and then Alabama on the horizon. That simply won't be the case. Mississippi State's defense is a shell of its former self and that's bad news with the nation's top offense coming to Starkville. MSU's offense is a hot mess, QB situation is in disarray and they simply don't have the firepower to keep up pace with LSU. Miss. State also likes to give the ball away so that will create more opportunities for LSU to put up more points. Joe Burrow and the wide receivers are going to eat like they're at a Golden Corral buffet.

Kentucky (+24) vs. Georgia. 5:00 pm CST
Everyone expects Georgia to be 'big mad' after losing to South Carolina last week and respond with a dominating win vs. what everyone perceives as a inferior Kentucky team. I'm here to tell you that won't happen. While I don't expect Kentucky to win, they're good enough to keep this game from getting out of hand. Georgia is a one dimensional team. All they can do is run the ball. Kentucky hasn't lost any game by 20 or more points all season. Saturday shouldn't be any different. All the Wildcats have to do is load the box to at least contain the run and not fall victim to the playaction pass and they should be fine for the cover.

Itchy’s NCAAF Week 7 Picks Against The Spread 🏈💵💰🤑

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This week’s crop of games will be fun to watch, but Vegas didn’t do any favors setting these lines. They have shown me why they are professionals and I’m an amateur. Trying to pick winning bets this week feels like I’m trying to slip past a bunch of Fortier students in front McDonald’s on Canal Street by myself wearing a John F. Kennedy school uniform without being noticed (if you went to high school in New Orleans, you’ll get that reference), I’m walking on THIN ICE 🤦🏾‍♂️. With that being said, let’s get into what I like this weekend.

Temple (+4) vs. Memphis
Memphis goes on the road to face one of the best defenses in the country. Memphis’ offense hasn’t looked like its usual ‘go up & down the field on opponents at will’ self as of late. They’ve even struggled at times against some of the worst teams in college football. Temple is exceptional at not allowing the one thing Memphis excels at - creating explosive, game changing plays. Those elements combined with the fact that Memphis might be looking ahead to a showdown with Tulane next week and I think the Owls pull this one off. If not, they at least cover the spread.

Toledo (-27) vs. Bowling Green
I know this is a huge number to swallow and I would generally advise against giving up this many points, but Bowling Green has not only lost every game this season vs. FBS competition, they’ve failed to cover each week as well, including being a 45 point underdog and losing by 52. Toledo shouldn’t have any problems controlling the pace of this game and scoring whenever they want to.

Duke (-17.5) vs. Georgia Tech
Duke played about as badly as a team could and constantly shot itself in the foot with turnovers last week, and still almost won their game. That shows a lot of character. Georgia Tech on the other hand isn’t very good at stopping the run, allowing over 200 yards on the ground. If you can’t stop the run, you’re pretty much asking the other team to beat the brakes off of you. Especially on the road. Look for the Blue Devils to roll.

Marshall (-15) vs. Old Dominion
The Thundering Herd rank 36th in the country in rushing with 205 yards per game. Additionally, ODU can’t generate anything on offense through the ground or the air and also have a knack for turning the ball over. QB Stone Smart has thrown 5 interceptions on the year and only one touchdown. That’s not a good stat to bring on the road to face a stout Marshall defense.

Wisconsin/Michigan State: over 40
We have a battle of two defensive heavyweights at Camp Randle. Wisconsin comes in with the nation’s number one total defense, giving up a little bit under 180 yards per game and 5.80 points per contest. Michigan State isn’t too far behind them, allowing 18 ppg and and 299 yards. This has all the makings of a low scoring game, until you do a little deeper digging. Jonathan Taylor is the only running back in the Heisman conversation at this point, rushing for 149 yards per game and 12 touchdowns through 6 games. Badgers QB Jack Coan is connecting on nearly 75% of his pass attemps and takes care of the ball as well. He has thrown for 9 TDs and only 1 INT so far this season. Add in the fact that this is Michigan State’s 3 road game in 4 weeks, and I see their defense eventually being worn down and allowing quite a few points. I think the Spartan offense is capable of scoring 14-17 points to easily push the total over 40. Shout out to Johnny for the assist on this one. I don’t know how I missed this total.

Itchy’s NFL Week 5 Picks Against The Spread 🏈💵💰🤑

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This week’s NFL games look pretty enticing on the surface. That being said, you dont want to get too ahead of yourself and overreact to how these lines look. Let’s get to winning some money

Bears (-6) vs. Raiders (in London, England)
Is it just me or do the Bears look a lot better without Mitch Tribisky? 🤔... when Chase Daniel took over in relief duty, Chicago’s offense was a lot more potent. Add in the fact that it is a shorter trip to London from Chicago than from the west coast and I feel comfortable laying the points.

Falcons @ Texans (-4)
Dont look now but things are about to get a lot worse for the Falcons before they get better. After losing two straight games, they now have to try to find a way to contain DeShaun Watson. Atlanta also has one of the league’s worst pass defense and they have to go up against one of the best WR groups in the NFL. This game might get ugly.

Cowboys (-3) vs. Packers
Despite losing to the Saints (one of the best teams in the NFL) last week, Dallas’ defense didnt allow a touchdown. They now get to play at home against a Green Bay team coming off their first loss of the season. I expect the Cowboys defense to play lights out again this afternoon. Aaron Rogers will also miss his best receiver who is out with an injury.

Chiefs vs. Colts (+11)
I think the Colts are a lot better than their performance last week and this big number is an overreaction to last week’s surprising loss to the Raiders (at home). Indy is still a playoff caliber team and Jacoby Brissett is a very underrated QB who doesn’t get the credit he deserves for having this team 2-2 at this point. The Chiefs will look to blow this game open at home in primetime, but with a somewhat leaky defense. the Colts will be able to keep pace and cover the double digit spread.

Cardinals (+3) @ Bengals
Both these teams are winless and somebody has to come up with a victory today. Cincinnati doesn’t look like a good team at all right now and are struggling without their best player (AJ Green). The Cardinals aren’t a good team either but I have more confidence in their ability to move the ball down the field and put points on the board when they need to.

Itchy’s NCAAF Week 6 Picks Against The Spread 💵🤑🏈

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Last week, I went 2-2 in my college picks. Not bad, but also not what I expected. I want to make up for that this week and then some. So without further ado, here are my best bets for week 6’s slate of games.

West Virginia vs. Texas (-10.5)

For those thinking that this might be a close game, I’ve got news for you: This isn’t the same West Virginia team you’ve grown accustomed to over the past decade or so. They currently have the worst offense in the Big 12 (even worse than Kansas and Iowa State) and they haven't been able to establish a running game. Sam Ehlinger & co. should be able to carve their defense up and the Mountaineer offense won't have enough firepower to keep pace.

Auburn (-3) @ Florida

Auburn is averaging 251 rushing yards per game, led by RB JaTarvious Whitlow who is averaging more than 5 yards per carry. True freshman QB Bo Nix has had some growing pains as the starter but has been gradually improving every week so far. With that being said, Nix he has yet to face a defense as talented as Florida . This is also Nix’s first true road game in a SEC environment so that may play a factor into his performance. Auburn’s defense has also been playing lights out. Their defensive line has been as good as advertised, allowing less than 3 yards per carry. Florida’s defense is the real deal as well, but two of their best players (DE Jabari Zuniga and corner CJ Henderson) are easing their way back into the lineup after injuries. This will also be Florida backup QB Kyle Trask’s first true test against an elite defense. I don't expect him to pass it.

UCONN vs. South Florida (-10.5)

I know last week I said that Charlie Strong wasn’t a good coach and that South Florida wasn’t really a good team, and I still believe that. But this week, they play one of the worst teams in all of college football. South Florida QB Blake Barnett hasn’t played great but lining up against the Huskies’ defense should be a stat padding game to build his confidence. The Bulls should be able to do whatever they want at will against a UCONN defense that struggles to stop anybody, giving up 36 points per game. For at least one week, South Florida will look the part of one the Group of 5’s best teams.

Oklahoma State (-9.5) vs. Texas Tech

Oklahoma State brings it's offense on the road to face Texas Tech in Lubbock. As quiet as it's kept, the Cowboys have one of the best RBs in the country that no one knows about in Chuba Hubbard. He’s averaging 187 yards per game on the ground and is going up against a defense that has allowed over 500 yards of rushing in the past 2 weeks alone. That is NOT good for the Red Raiders. Barring some type of injury, I don't see Tech being able to stop OK State in any facet.

Maryland (-13) @ Rutgers

The Terps got off to a really fast start this season before getting slowed down the past 2 weeks. I look for their offense to com out and ’go for the gusto’ early against a Rutgers team that just gave up 59 points last week and then fired their head coach. The Scarlet Knights also have one of the worst defenses in the B10 (Big Ten Conference). This should be an easy cover for Maryland.

Itchy’s NFL Week 5 Picks Against the Spread

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In all honesty, this week’s slate of games was kind of difficult. I’m not as consistently good at picking NFL games as I am at picking college football games. But what it does is force me to do more research to try to make the best decisions possible. So with that being said, here’s what I came up with for today’s games.

Chiefs (-6.5) 🔐 @ Lions
This is Patrick Mahomes first NFL game in an indoor stadium. Combine that with the fact that he’s already on pace to throw for over 6,000 yards and it spells trouble for the Lions. A hip injury to Matt Stafford that has is availability questionable further puts Detroit’s chances to keep this game close in doubt. I feel EXTREMELY CONFIDENT that Kansas City will cover this spread. I’m actually surprised that the number isn’t higher considering all the circumstances.

Panthers/Texans: Over 47.5
The Panthers’ offense looks like a rejuvenated unit with Kyle Allen under center in place of the injured Cam Newtow. They put up 413 total yards and 38 points last week. On the flip side, Houston’s offense is averaging a little under 23 point per game, but that includes a 13 point performance against a very good Jags defense. They’ve scored at least 25 points every other week. They’re going against a Panthers defense that has struggled thus far and isnt the same vaunted ‘D’ that we’ve know in the past. Expect both teams to light the scoreboard up.

Falcons vs. Titans (+4.5)
You never really know what Falcons team you’ll get from week to week. They’re like the NFL’s version of Jekyl & Hyde. One thing I do know about this league is that you don’t win games when you turn the ball over. Atlanta has 7 turnovers thus far this season and they’re going up against a very stingy Titans defense that has a knack for taking the ball away from their opponents.. While Tennessee’s offense is somewhat inconsistent at times,, they should be able to pound the ball with Derrick Henry & that’ll set up the playaction pass. Even if the Falcons get a win, I dont see it being by a large margin.

Giants (-3) vs. Redskins
A lot of people are wondering if the Daniel Jones hype is real. That can’t be fully answer after only seeing one game, but one thing is for sure: he’s going up against a Redskins defense that has given up at least 30 points every week. The Skins are looking to avoid their first 0-4 start in 19 years and will play motivated, but it won’t be enough to win on the road.

Itchy’s NCAAF Week 5 picks Against The Spread 💵💵💵

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Okay, okay, okay. I know y’all have been waiting for my college picks so here they are. Be sure to follow these picks if you want to win some money and ride on 20" chrome this weekend. If you don’t, then that’s all on you playboi!
South Florida vs. SMU (-7.5)
SMU has gotten off to a 4-0 start and has the 17th ranked offense in the country, averaging 43 points per game. South Florida isn’t a good team and Charlie Strong is proving how mediocre of a coach he is. This might get ugly. Lay the points.

Virginia (+12.5) @ Notre Dame
The Cavs come in with the country’s 12th best rush defense, allowing 2.2 ypc. Notre Dame does have the edge in the passing game but look for Fightin’ Irish QB Ian Look to be under constant pressure all day as the UVA front 7 has made a living in their opponents’ backfield through the first 4 games of the season. Virginia will play ball control to keep the game close. They may even pull off the upset. Take the points. And if you’re feeling super risky, take UVA on the money line. 😎

Marshall vs. Cincinnati (-3.5)

Both these teams have pretty good run defenses, so dont expect a bunch of scoring. Even thought this may hold true, Cincinnati is the more talented team. The Bearcats should be able to keep Marshall’s offense off the field with their defense and also control the clock with their running game.

Louisiana Tech (-9.5) @ Rice

Rice is horrible. Need I say more? They are winless and their offense can’t seem to get going. Louisiana Tech, on the other hand, seems to be hitting their stride at the right time and are going on the road to face an inferior opponent. This is a perfect opportunity for a confidence booster before they get into the meat of their conference schedule.