Today is Monday and the Saints play on MNF. Watch the video below to see who I feel will cash in.
Showing posts with label picks against the spread. Show all posts
Showing posts with label picks against the spread. Show all posts
Monday, November 7, 2022
Monday, October 17, 2022
Mike Williams ov. 5.5 catches
In this latest video, I explain why I feel like Mike Williams will surpass 5.5 catches against the Broncos tonight. Tap in
Tuesday, March 22, 2022
UTEP vs. Southern Utah pick against the spread
Today we head back to The Basketball Classic for 2nd round action. We have UTEP again taking on Southern Utah. Check out the video below to see who I like and why.
Monday, March 21, 2022
NBA player prop picks for March 21, 2022
Today’s post has 2 picks for NBA player props. Check out the video below to see who I like in tonight’s Brooklyn Nets vs. Utah Jazz and Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Dallas Mavericks game.
Sunday, March 20, 2022
Washington St. vs. SMU pick against the spread
No video today but that does NOT stop this content train. Today we head over to the 2nd round of the NIT where SMU hosts Washington State. The Mustangs are the #1 overall seed in the NIT and look to show why they are the favorite to win the entire tournament. They score 74.6 points per game and are led by senior guard Kendric Davis. Davis averages 19.5 ppg this season along with 4.6 assists. SMU also has a pretty underrated defense, only allowing opponents to shoot less than 40% from the field (39.9 to be exact.) Combine these factors with the fact that this game will be played on SMU’s home court and I dont think Wazzou stands a chance of covering this spread, let alone winning the game. So I’m taking SMU (-3) to roll in this one.
Saturday, March 19, 2022
UTEP vs. Western Illinois pick against the spread
Today is the first round of The Basketball Classic tournament and we have Western Illinois heading down to El Paso to take on UTEP. Watch the video below to see who I like in this game and why.
Friday, March 18, 2022
Texas vs. Virginia Tech pick against the spread
Today is the second day of 1st round of the NCAA Men’s basketball tournament, also known as ‘March Madness.’ The Texas Longhorns, led by Timmy Allen take on the Virginia Tech, fresh off a ACC Tournament title & led by senior big man Keve Aluma. It should be a pretty good game, being that the spread is only -1 for Texas. Because many predict this game to be close, I want to focus on total which currently sits at 123.5. Watch the video below to see how I feel things will play out in Milwaukee.
Saturday, November 14, 2020
NCAA Week 11 picks ATS
FOR ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE BE ADVISED THAT IF YOU FOLLOW ANY OF THIS ADVICE AND DECIDE TO WAGER ANY MONEY BASED ON ANYTHING SAID OR SEEN DURING THE FOLLOWING BROADCASTING, YOU DO SO SOLEY AT YOUR OWN RISK. The creator of this content is NOT RESPONSIBLE for any potential incurred losses, monetarily or otherwise.
Host Quentin Bienemy gives his week 11 picks against the spread.
• (9) University of Miami @ Virginia Tech
• UT-San Antonio vs. UT-El Paso
• Western Kentucky University vs. University of Southern Mississippi
• (11) University of Oregon @ Washington State University
Saturday, November 7, 2020
NCAA Week 10 Picks Against the Spread
FOR ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE BE ADVISED THAT IF YOU FOLLOW ANY OF THIS ADVICE AND DECIDE TO WAGER ANY MONEY BASED ON ANYTHING STATED IN THIS VIDEO, YOU DO SO SOLEY AT YOUR OWN RISK. The author of this post is NOT RESPONSIBLE for ANY POTENTIAL INCURRED LOSSES.
After a far too long hiatus, we're back with another edition of our weekly picks against the spread for college football (the first one in video form) Check it out below and let us know what y'all think. Happy winnings!
Friday, December 6, 2019
Itchy’s NCAAF Picks Against the Spread - Championship Weekend Edition
FOR ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE BE ADVISED THAT IF YOU FOLLOW ANY OF THIS ADVICE AND DECIDE TO WAGER ANY MONEY BASED ON ANYTHING WRITTEN IN THIS ARTICLE, YOU DO SO SOLEY AT YOUR OWN RISK. The author of this post is NOT RESPONSIBLE for ANY POTENTIAL INCURRED LOSSES.
Last week’s NCAAF record: 2-1
Season NCAAF record: 23-11
Friday
PAC-12 Championship:
Oregon vs. Utah: over 46
Both teams have a ‘good defense’ but that’s relatively speaking, as outside of USC and Washington State, the PAC-12 hasn’t been known for its offensive firepower this year. Utah’s defense gave up 28 points to Washington and Oregon got 31 dropped on them by Arizona State (both those teams are just average offensively). The windy weather is a cause for concern, but I feel like both teams are explosive enough to put up at least 23 points a piece on each other’s defense. Oregon QB Justin Herbert was widely considered the best QB prospect in this year’s upcoming draft going into this season, and with a bunch of NFL caliber talent around him (like WRs Johnny Johnson III and Jaylen Redd) playing with their backs to the wind for half the game, they should be able to come up with 3 touchdown drives. On the other side, Utah is currently ranked number 5 in the CFP poll. The Utes have one of the best backfields in the country that no one really talks about with QB Tyler Huntley and RB Zack Moss. With a potential trip to the CFP on the line with a win and Georgia loss (we’ll get to that game later) I expect them to be focused and clicking on all cylinders to get the win. If they do, they’ll need to put points up to try to keep up (or hold off) Oregon. This game won’t be low scoring. Take the over.
Saturday
Big 12 Championship:
Oklahoma (-8.5) vs. Baylor
Some people may look at this line and think I’m tripping. Especially because of how the game turned out the last time these 2 schools played and Baylor going up 28-3 before eventually allowing a Oklahoma comeback. Well when you take a closer look at that game, Baylor was the beneficiary of 3 first half touchdowns as a result of Sooner turnovers. I don’t think Baylor will be as lucky this time around. While I do think their defense is a really good unit, I think Oklahoma’s offense is simply better and this game should play out a lot more like the second half of the last time these 2 teams met, where Oklahoma outscored Baylor 24-0. When you add in the fact that Utah losing last night opens the door for the winner of this game to get the fourth and final spot in this year’s playoff. Jalen Hurts and Lincoln Riley won’t let this opportunity slip by them. If/OU’s offense gets to rolling, I don’t think Baylor’s offense will be able to keep pace. The Sooner defense has also been playing better as of late and expect Oklahoma to come out firing on all cylinders and play their best football of the season. The Sooners SHOULD cover this spread.
Mountain West Championship
Boise State vs. Hawaii: over 64.5
We all know by now that Hawaii can score with just about anybody you put them on the field with. That’s just a given. They’ve looked really impressive most of the year offensively. The problem is, defensively, they give up a lot of points as well which isn’t good (for them). Boise State’s offense is always efficient, but this year they’re especially lethal. The last time these 2 teams met (earlier this season), the final score was 59-37 in the Broncos’ favor. The weather is somewhat of a factor and MAY slightly affect the Rainbow Warriors’ chances to put points on the board, but even if they can’t, I think Boise can hang 45-50 by themselves and in that case, I think Hawaii will be good for 2 garbage time TDs to get this total over.
SEC Championship
Georgia vs. LSU (-7.5)
I know that Georgia has somewhat of a “home-field advantage” with this game being played in Atlanta, but that’s about the only thing they have the upper hand on when I look at this matchup. Georgia came out of the SEC East (by far the weaker of the 2 divisions) and they’ve struggled offensively most of the year. I don’t expect that to change today, especially with De’Andre Swift being banged up with a shoulder injury and not having their top 2 receivers (one being out due to injury and the other being suspended for a half). On the other side of the ball, everyone knows what LSU has done and what they’re capable of offensively. Georgia’s defense is viewed as the strength of their team, but who have they played? The key to this game will be LSU’s offensive line against UGA’s defensive. front (which is pretty good). If LSU’s offensive line can block Georgia’s defensive front, it’s going to be A VERY LONG DAY for the Bulldog DBs as Joe Burrow will have time to pick them apart.
Last week’s NCAAF record: 2-1
Season NCAAF record: 23-11
Friday
PAC-12 Championship:
Oregon vs. Utah: over 46
Both teams have a ‘good defense’ but that’s relatively speaking, as outside of USC and Washington State, the PAC-12 hasn’t been known for its offensive firepower this year. Utah’s defense gave up 28 points to Washington and Oregon got 31 dropped on them by Arizona State (both those teams are just average offensively). The windy weather is a cause for concern, but I feel like both teams are explosive enough to put up at least 23 points a piece on each other’s defense. Oregon QB Justin Herbert was widely considered the best QB prospect in this year’s upcoming draft going into this season, and with a bunch of NFL caliber talent around him (like WRs Johnny Johnson III and Jaylen Redd) playing with their backs to the wind for half the game, they should be able to come up with 3 touchdown drives. On the other side, Utah is currently ranked number 5 in the CFP poll. The Utes have one of the best backfields in the country that no one really talks about with QB Tyler Huntley and RB Zack Moss. With a potential trip to the CFP on the line with a win and Georgia loss (we’ll get to that game later) I expect them to be focused and clicking on all cylinders to get the win. If they do, they’ll need to put points up to try to keep up (or hold off) Oregon. This game won’t be low scoring. Take the over.
Saturday
Big 12 Championship:
Oklahoma (-8.5) vs. Baylor
Some people may look at this line and think I’m tripping. Especially because of how the game turned out the last time these 2 schools played and Baylor going up 28-3 before eventually allowing a Oklahoma comeback. Well when you take a closer look at that game, Baylor was the beneficiary of 3 first half touchdowns as a result of Sooner turnovers. I don’t think Baylor will be as lucky this time around. While I do think their defense is a really good unit, I think Oklahoma’s offense is simply better and this game should play out a lot more like the second half of the last time these 2 teams met, where Oklahoma outscored Baylor 24-0. When you add in the fact that Utah losing last night opens the door for the winner of this game to get the fourth and final spot in this year’s playoff. Jalen Hurts and Lincoln Riley won’t let this opportunity slip by them. If/OU’s offense gets to rolling, I don’t think Baylor’s offense will be able to keep pace. The Sooner defense has also been playing better as of late and expect Oklahoma to come out firing on all cylinders and play their best football of the season. The Sooners SHOULD cover this spread.
Mountain West Championship
Boise State vs. Hawaii: over 64.5
We all know by now that Hawaii can score with just about anybody you put them on the field with. That’s just a given. They’ve looked really impressive most of the year offensively. The problem is, defensively, they give up a lot of points as well which isn’t good (for them). Boise State’s offense is always efficient, but this year they’re especially lethal. The last time these 2 teams met (earlier this season), the final score was 59-37 in the Broncos’ favor. The weather is somewhat of a factor and MAY slightly affect the Rainbow Warriors’ chances to put points on the board, but even if they can’t, I think Boise can hang 45-50 by themselves and in that case, I think Hawaii will be good for 2 garbage time TDs to get this total over.
SEC Championship
Georgia vs. LSU (-7.5)
I know that Georgia has somewhat of a “home-field advantage” with this game being played in Atlanta, but that’s about the only thing they have the upper hand on when I look at this matchup. Georgia came out of the SEC East (by far the weaker of the 2 divisions) and they’ve struggled offensively most of the year. I don’t expect that to change today, especially with De’Andre Swift being banged up with a shoulder injury and not having their top 2 receivers (one being out due to injury and the other being suspended for a half). On the other side of the ball, everyone knows what LSU has done and what they’re capable of offensively. Georgia’s defense is viewed as the strength of their team, but who have they played? The key to this game will be LSU’s offensive line against UGA’s defensive. front (which is pretty good). If LSU’s offensive line can block Georgia’s defensive front, it’s going to be A VERY LONG DAY for the Bulldog DBs as Joe Burrow will have time to pick them apart.
Sunday, November 24, 2019
Itchy’s NFL Week 12 Picks Against the Spread
FOR ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE BE ADVISED THAT IF YOU FOLLOW ANY OF THIS ADVICE AND DECIDE TO WAGER ANY MONEY BASED ON ANYTHING WRITTEN IN THIS ARTICLE, YOU DO SO SOLEY AT YOUR OWN RISK. The author of this post is NOT RESPONSIBLE for ANY POTENTIAL INCURRED LOSSES.
Last week’s NFL record: 1-1-1
Season NFL record of released picks: 8-3-1
This week is looking real spooky! There are a lot of terrible games and Las Vegas isn’t making it any easier to pick winners, but that’s what makes this shit fun and more gratifying when you do win. So before I go on & on about how hard this week is, I’ma just get into what I feel are good bets for today.
Giants @ Bears: over 40.5
At first glance, I know this looks terrifying, especially with Chicago’s offense looking aweful at times. But one thing that sticks out to me about this game is the fact that Bears LB Danny Trevathan isn’t playing. That should be enough of an absence for the Giants’ offense (which is sneaky good) to put up at least 20 points, provided they can withstand Khalil Mack and the Chicago pass rush. The Giants’ defense is pretty bad too so this should be a spot where the Bears can put some points up and actually look like a good offense for at least this week.
Falcons (-3.5) vs Buccaneers
I’ve made some good money betting against the Falcons for the first half of the season. Well today that changes. Since Dan Quinn has re-assigned some of his coaches around, Atlanta has LOOKED like a totally different team. Make no mistake, they’re still not good, but they just so happen to have the fortune of playing a terrible Tampa team that gives up about 30 points every single week. Additionally, Jamies Winston can’t seem to stop throwing passes to the wrong team. The Falcons should be able to win this game by more than a field goal
SN: as a Saints fan, I’m going to absolutely HATE rooting for the Falcons today lol.
Browns (-10.5) vs. Dolphins
Cleveland is obviously the better team and should win this game convincingly, but honestly this huge number scares me a bit. Even so, I just don’t see how Miami is going to be able to put points up. Even without Myles Garrett and Olivier Vernon, the Browns’ defense should be able to contain the Dolphins’ offense. On the other side of the ball, the Browns should be able to exploit Miami’s weak front 7 and that should set up the passing game. So look for Odell and Jarvis Landry to both have big days.
Last week’s NFL record: 1-1-1
Season NFL record of released picks: 8-3-1
This week is looking real spooky! There are a lot of terrible games and Las Vegas isn’t making it any easier to pick winners, but that’s what makes this shit fun and more gratifying when you do win. So before I go on & on about how hard this week is, I’ma just get into what I feel are good bets for today.
Giants @ Bears: over 40.5
At first glance, I know this looks terrifying, especially with Chicago’s offense looking aweful at times. But one thing that sticks out to me about this game is the fact that Bears LB Danny Trevathan isn’t playing. That should be enough of an absence for the Giants’ offense (which is sneaky good) to put up at least 20 points, provided they can withstand Khalil Mack and the Chicago pass rush. The Giants’ defense is pretty bad too so this should be a spot where the Bears can put some points up and actually look like a good offense for at least this week.
Falcons (-3.5) vs Buccaneers
I’ve made some good money betting against the Falcons for the first half of the season. Well today that changes. Since Dan Quinn has re-assigned some of his coaches around, Atlanta has LOOKED like a totally different team. Make no mistake, they’re still not good, but they just so happen to have the fortune of playing a terrible Tampa team that gives up about 30 points every single week. Additionally, Jamies Winston can’t seem to stop throwing passes to the wrong team. The Falcons should be able to win this game by more than a field goal
SN: as a Saints fan, I’m going to absolutely HATE rooting for the Falcons today lol.
Browns (-10.5) vs. Dolphins
Cleveland is obviously the better team and should win this game convincingly, but honestly this huge number scares me a bit. Even so, I just don’t see how Miami is going to be able to put points up. Even without Myles Garrett and Olivier Vernon, the Browns’ defense should be able to contain the Dolphins’ offense. On the other side of the ball, the Browns should be able to exploit Miami’s weak front 7 and that should set up the passing game. So look for Odell and Jarvis Landry to both have big days.
Saturday, November 23, 2019
Itchy’s NCAAF Week 13 Picks Against the Spread
FOR ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE BE ADVISED THAT IF YOU FOLLOW ANY OF THIS ADVICE AND DECIDE TO WAGER ANY MONEY BASED ON ANYTHING WRITTEN IN THIS ARTICLE, YOU DO SO SOLEY AT YOUR OWN RISK. The author of this post is NOT RESPONSIBLE for ANY POTENTIAL INCURRED LOSSES.
Last week’s NCAAF record: 4-0
Season NCAAF record: 21-10
Last week was really good for me, so I’m just gonna try to keep up with this momentum and carry it into the end of the regular season and finish on a high note. I must admit, this week I didn’t feel good about a lot of games so this might be an ‘abbreviated’ schedule for me lol.
ECU (-13.5) @ UConn
This is pretty much a situation where I’m picking against UConnof . Their defense is terrible and while ECU’s offense hasn’t consistently put up points in bunches the entire season, they have put up 43 (against a very good Cincinnati defense) and 51 points the past 2 weeks and I expect them to ‘turn up’ on the Huskies. They’ve found out how to find the end zone and UConn will have trouble keeping up.
Arkansas State/Georgia Southern: over 54.5
Idk exactly what is going on with this total. The line opened up at 59.5 and since then, it has dropped. I’ve checked the weather and that won’t play a factor. On top of that, you have one of the country’s top passing offenses in Arkansas State going against one of the worst passing defenses. On the flip side, you have one of the best running teams in Georgia Southern (that also get a ton of chunk yards and ‘big gains’) going up against one of the nation’s worst run defenses. I’ve seen a lot of other experts pick the under in this game and I don’t understand why. I guess I’m just going to have to be proven wrong because I’m all ‘over’ this one.
Texas A&M (+13.5) @ Georgia
This is the first time these teams will meet since TAMU joined the SEC 8 years ago. When I look at these teams, I see a lot of similarities. Both teams like to grind and shorten the clock out with their respective running games and rely on their defenses to stymie their opponents. The main difference is, Georgia probably has better players on their team. Still, I think 2 touchdowns is a bit much to give up, especially for a Georgia team that hasn’t really been able to break games open with their offense. Jimbo Fisher is big game coach so I expect him to put his players in position to keep this game close throughout. Kellen Mond will also have a decent day against this Dawg defense.
Last week’s NCAAF record: 4-0
Season NCAAF record: 21-10
Last week was really good for me, so I’m just gonna try to keep up with this momentum and carry it into the end of the regular season and finish on a high note. I must admit, this week I didn’t feel good about a lot of games so this might be an ‘abbreviated’ schedule for me lol.
ECU (-13.5) @ UConn
This is pretty much a situation where I’m picking against UConnof . Their defense is terrible and while ECU’s offense hasn’t consistently put up points in bunches the entire season, they have put up 43 (against a very good Cincinnati defense) and 51 points the past 2 weeks and I expect them to ‘turn up’ on the Huskies. They’ve found out how to find the end zone and UConn will have trouble keeping up.
Arkansas State/Georgia Southern: over 54.5
Idk exactly what is going on with this total. The line opened up at 59.5 and since then, it has dropped. I’ve checked the weather and that won’t play a factor. On top of that, you have one of the country’s top passing offenses in Arkansas State going against one of the worst passing defenses. On the flip side, you have one of the best running teams in Georgia Southern (that also get a ton of chunk yards and ‘big gains’) going up against one of the nation’s worst run defenses. I’ve seen a lot of other experts pick the under in this game and I don’t understand why. I guess I’m just going to have to be proven wrong because I’m all ‘over’ this one.
Texas A&M (+13.5) @ Georgia
This is the first time these teams will meet since TAMU joined the SEC 8 years ago. When I look at these teams, I see a lot of similarities. Both teams like to grind and shorten the clock out with their respective running games and rely on their defenses to stymie their opponents. The main difference is, Georgia probably has better players on their team. Still, I think 2 touchdowns is a bit much to give up, especially for a Georgia team that hasn’t really been able to break games open with their offense. Jimbo Fisher is big game coach so I expect him to put his players in position to keep this game close throughout. Kellen Mond will also have a decent day against this Dawg defense.
Sunday, November 17, 2019
Itchy’s NFL Week 11 Picks Against the Spread
FOR ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE BE ADVISED THAT IF YOU FOLLOW ANY OF THIS ADVICE AND DECIDE TO WAGER ANY MONEY BASED ON ANYTHING WRITTEN IN THIS ARTICLE, YOU DO SO SOLEY AT YOUR OWN RISK. The author of this post is NOT RESPONSIBLE for ANY POTENTIAL INCURRED LOSSES.
Last week, I didnt have any NFL picks at all so I need to bounce back in a big way.
Texans/Ravens: over 49
These are two of the NFL’s better offenses going up against two mediocre defense. Both teams can run the ball really well and the Texans know how to push the ball downfield. Will Fuller being limited in practice this week has me concerned and it looks like he will not play, so I expect the Texans to rely heavily on DeAndre Hopkins ans he should have a big day. A lot of points should be scored in this game.
Bills (-6.5) @ Dolphins
The last time these teams played, I believe I took the Dolphins. Since then they’ve traded away their best running back (Kenyon Drake), another is injured and their best wide receiver (Devonte Parker) is hurt as well and won’t play today. They’re also going against one of the best defenses in the league in Buffalo. I don’t see how Miami keeps this game within a touchdown once the Bills get going.
49ers vs. Cardinals (+10)
When these teams met a few weeks ago, Arizona nearly upset the 49ers. This time around, I think the Cardinals have another shot at winning. They get their best RB (David Johnson) back to go along with newly acquired Kenyon Drake to go against a 49ers defense that is pretty bad against the run. San Fran also has some key injuries on offense with Emmanuel Sanders and George Kittle. Add in the fact that these are divisional opponents that know each other well and I don’t see Frisco running away with with a huge win.
Last week, I didnt have any NFL picks at all so I need to bounce back in a big way.
Texans/Ravens: over 49
These are two of the NFL’s better offenses going up against two mediocre defense. Both teams can run the ball really well and the Texans know how to push the ball downfield. Will Fuller being limited in practice this week has me concerned and it looks like he will not play, so I expect the Texans to rely heavily on DeAndre Hopkins ans he should have a big day. A lot of points should be scored in this game.
Bills (-6.5) @ Dolphins
The last time these teams played, I believe I took the Dolphins. Since then they’ve traded away their best running back (Kenyon Drake), another is injured and their best wide receiver (Devonte Parker) is hurt as well and won’t play today. They’re also going against one of the best defenses in the league in Buffalo. I don’t see how Miami keeps this game within a touchdown once the Bills get going.
49ers vs. Cardinals (+10)
When these teams met a few weeks ago, Arizona nearly upset the 49ers. This time around, I think the Cardinals have another shot at winning. They get their best RB (David Johnson) back to go along with newly acquired Kenyon Drake to go against a 49ers defense that is pretty bad against the run. San Fran also has some key injuries on offense with Emmanuel Sanders and George Kittle. Add in the fact that these are divisional opponents that know each other well and I don’t see Frisco running away with with a huge win.
Friday, November 15, 2019
Itchy’s NCAAF Week 12 Picks Against the Spread
FOR ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE BE ADVISED THAT IF YOU FOLLOW ANY OF THIS ADVICE AND DECIDE TO WAGER ANY MONEY BASED ON ANYTHING WRITTEN IN THIS ARTICLE, YOU DO SO SOLEY AT YOUR OWN RISK. The author of this post is NOT RESPONSIBLE for ANY POTENTIAL INCURRED LOSSES.
Last week’s NCAAF record: 3-2
Season NCAAF record: 17-10
Last week, my 'lock of the year' came through (LSU/Bama over - as expected) but overall I didn't have that great of a day in college. On the surface, this week seems to look a lot easier with more favorable match-ups and spreads and totals that look like they make sense on paper. See, that's the thing with Vegas, they've made billions of dollars and built tons of casinos & sportsbooks by people thinking exactly like this. So that's why I had to curb my enthusiasm and concentrate on the research as opposed to what just looks good at first glance. Anyways, let's get into this week's winners.
Penn State/Indiana - over 55
When people look at this game, they'll figure Penn State should roll over Indiana. At a closer glance, you'll notice that the Hooisers have one of the best offenses in the B10, averaging almost 32 points per game (31.75 to be exact). Penn State's defense has been pretty stingy but they haven't really played anybody with a good offense, so their numbers and stats can be a bit misleading. I would argue that Indiana might be the best offense they'll see all year up to this point. On the flip side, Indiana's defense won't be able to stop Penn State from doing whatever it is they want to do so 8 TDs or 56 points shouldn't be a problem to get to.
Florida State/Alabama State - over 53
For as much as people talk about FSU 'falling off', it is not because of their offense. They consistently put up anywhere between 25-40 points per game against quality opponents. While Alabama State does have a pretty good defense by FCS standards and pushed UAB to the limit in week one, they will be no match for James Blackmon, Cam Aykers and the Seminole offense. For at least one week, Florida State will look like an elite program again. The bottom line is, Florida State needs this win to become bowl eligible because they won't win next week against Florida. They really need to win this game in dominating fashion to impress some of the bowl organizations to pick them to play in their game in December, so they'll come into this game focused and ready to rock. FSU might put up 50 by themselves.
Troy (-7) @ Texas State
I've been watching Troy for a few weeks now and one thing is for certain, they can put up a lot of points. I don't know if I can say the same for Texas State, who has only scored over 20 points twice this season, and against 2 of the worst teams in college football. Troy's defense is vulnerable and is liable to give up points in bunches, but I don't see the Wildcats being much of a threat to keep this game within a touchdown as the Trojans will score at will.
Texas A&M (-11) vs. South Carolina
The Aggies get a home game after a bye against a South Carolina team that is flat out not good and being decimated by injuries. The Gamecocks are pulling all their freshmen and the veterans who have played less than 4 games to preserve their redshirts (in anticipation for next season and beyond). Furthermore, they are starting 2 walk-ons at wide receiver. Ouch. TAMU will roll @ home. I feel comfortable laying the point. Kellen Mond & co. will roll @ home.
Last week’s NCAAF record: 3-2
Season NCAAF record: 17-10
Last week, my 'lock of the year' came through (LSU/Bama over - as expected) but overall I didn't have that great of a day in college. On the surface, this week seems to look a lot easier with more favorable match-ups and spreads and totals that look like they make sense on paper. See, that's the thing with Vegas, they've made billions of dollars and built tons of casinos & sportsbooks by people thinking exactly like this. So that's why I had to curb my enthusiasm and concentrate on the research as opposed to what just looks good at first glance. Anyways, let's get into this week's winners.
Penn State/Indiana - over 55
When people look at this game, they'll figure Penn State should roll over Indiana. At a closer glance, you'll notice that the Hooisers have one of the best offenses in the B10, averaging almost 32 points per game (31.75 to be exact). Penn State's defense has been pretty stingy but they haven't really played anybody with a good offense, so their numbers and stats can be a bit misleading. I would argue that Indiana might be the best offense they'll see all year up to this point. On the flip side, Indiana's defense won't be able to stop Penn State from doing whatever it is they want to do so 8 TDs or 56 points shouldn't be a problem to get to.
Florida State/Alabama State - over 53
For as much as people talk about FSU 'falling off', it is not because of their offense. They consistently put up anywhere between 25-40 points per game against quality opponents. While Alabama State does have a pretty good defense by FCS standards and pushed UAB to the limit in week one, they will be no match for James Blackmon, Cam Aykers and the Seminole offense. For at least one week, Florida State will look like an elite program again. The bottom line is, Florida State needs this win to become bowl eligible because they won't win next week against Florida. They really need to win this game in dominating fashion to impress some of the bowl organizations to pick them to play in their game in December, so they'll come into this game focused and ready to rock. FSU might put up 50 by themselves.
Troy (-7) @ Texas State
I've been watching Troy for a few weeks now and one thing is for certain, they can put up a lot of points. I don't know if I can say the same for Texas State, who has only scored over 20 points twice this season, and against 2 of the worst teams in college football. Troy's defense is vulnerable and is liable to give up points in bunches, but I don't see the Wildcats being much of a threat to keep this game within a touchdown as the Trojans will score at will.
Texas A&M (-11) vs. South Carolina
The Aggies get a home game after a bye against a South Carolina team that is flat out not good and being decimated by injuries. The Gamecocks are pulling all their freshmen and the veterans who have played less than 4 games to preserve their redshirts (in anticipation for next season and beyond). Furthermore, they are starting 2 walk-ons at wide receiver. Ouch. TAMU will roll @ home. I feel comfortable laying the point. Kellen Mond & co. will roll @ home.
Friday, October 18, 2019
Itchy's NCAAF Week 8 Picks Against The Spread 🏈💵💰🤑
FOR ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE BE ADVISED THAT IF YOU FOLLOW ANY OF THIS ADVICE AND DECIDEE TO WAGER ANY MONEY BASED ON ANYTHING SAID IN THIS ARTICLE, YOU DO SO SOLEY AT YOUR OWN RISK. The author of this post is NOT RESPONSIBLE for any potential incurred losses.
If I had my way, this week's picks would be sponsored by Colgate so that I could get the nasty taste of last week's picks out of my mouth. I went 2-3, which isn't the worst, but the games I got wrong, I bombed tremendously. So with that in mind, I started to research a little earlier. My goal for this week is to go at least 4-1 (if not 5-0).
South Carolina vs. Florida (-5.5).11:00 am CST
Both these teams come off very emotional games last week: South Carolina pulling off what might be the upset of the year vs. Georgia (thanks in large part to 4 turnovers) and Florida pushing LSU to the limit before finally fading late. When this type of scenario occurs, I typically like to take the more talented team. Florida also wants to get the nasty taste of la As mentioned earlier, USC beat Georgia because they got 4 gift-wrapped turnovers. Without that, that game would not have been close. UF quarterback Kyle Trask also showed me a lot by going into a hostile environment last week and passing for over 300 yards. He faces a group of South Carolina DBs that aren't great. They allow 260 yards per game and have given up 11 TDs through the air. USC QB Ryan Hilinski is also doubtful to play after suffering a concussion last week. Florida rolls on the road.
Costal Carolina/Georgia Southern Total Score: Over 45.5. 2:00 CST
This is a pretty low total and both defenses have struggled this season, both giving up over 25 points per game. Georgia Southern has only scored under 20 points once this season and that was against LSU (go figure). Both teams rank in the top 25 in rushing yards, so that is cause for concern for the clock being chewed up, but Coastal Carolina has shown that they can bust games open with long touchdown runs, which I expect at least 2 of vs. a Georgia Southern defense that gives up over 200 yards per game on the ground. As long as these teams don't figure out a way to not score once they get into the red zone, this total should easily go over. Light rain is in the forecast, but both teams are run oriented so the weather should NOT play much of a factor.
LSU (-18.5) @ Mississippi State. 2:30 pm CST
Usually Miss. State gets up for this game and plays LSU pretty tough and close. People may feel like this is a 'trap' game for LSU because they have Auburn and then Alabama on the horizon. That simply won't be the case. Mississippi State's defense is a shell of its former self and that's bad news with the nation's top offense coming to Starkville. MSU's offense is a hot mess, QB situation is in disarray and they simply don't have the firepower to keep up pace with LSU. Miss. State also likes to give the ball away so that will create more opportunities for LSU to put up more points. Joe Burrow and the wide receivers are going to eat like they're at a Golden Corral buffet.
Kentucky (+24) vs. Georgia. 5:00 pm CST
Everyone expects Georgia to be 'big mad' after losing to South Carolina last week and respond with a dominating win vs. what everyone perceives as a inferior Kentucky team. I'm here to tell you that won't happen. While I don't expect Kentucky to win, they're good enough to keep this game from getting out of hand. Georgia is a one dimensional team. All they can do is run the ball. Kentucky hasn't lost any game by 20 or more points all season. Saturday shouldn't be any different. All the Wildcats have to do is load the box to at least contain the run and not fall victim to the playaction pass and they should be fine for the cover.
If I had my way, this week's picks would be sponsored by Colgate so that I could get the nasty taste of last week's picks out of my mouth. I went 2-3, which isn't the worst, but the games I got wrong, I bombed tremendously. So with that in mind, I started to research a little earlier. My goal for this week is to go at least 4-1 (if not 5-0).
South Carolina vs. Florida (-5.5).11:00 am CST
Both these teams come off very emotional games last week: South Carolina pulling off what might be the upset of the year vs. Georgia (thanks in large part to 4 turnovers) and Florida pushing LSU to the limit before finally fading late. When this type of scenario occurs, I typically like to take the more talented team. Florida also wants to get the nasty taste of la As mentioned earlier, USC beat Georgia because they got 4 gift-wrapped turnovers. Without that, that game would not have been close. UF quarterback Kyle Trask also showed me a lot by going into a hostile environment last week and passing for over 300 yards. He faces a group of South Carolina DBs that aren't great. They allow 260 yards per game and have given up 11 TDs through the air. USC QB Ryan Hilinski is also doubtful to play after suffering a concussion last week. Florida rolls on the road.
This is a pretty low total and both defenses have struggled this season, both giving up over 25 points per game. Georgia Southern has only scored under 20 points once this season and that was against LSU (go figure). Both teams rank in the top 25 in rushing yards, so that is cause for concern for the clock being chewed up, but Coastal Carolina has shown that they can bust games open with long touchdown runs, which I expect at least 2 of vs. a Georgia Southern defense that gives up over 200 yards per game on the ground. As long as these teams don't figure out a way to not score once they get into the red zone, this total should easily go over. Light rain is in the forecast, but both teams are run oriented so the weather should NOT play much of a factor.
LSU (-18.5) @ Mississippi State. 2:30 pm CST
Usually Miss. State gets up for this game and plays LSU pretty tough and close. People may feel like this is a 'trap' game for LSU because they have Auburn and then Alabama on the horizon. That simply won't be the case. Mississippi State's defense is a shell of its former self and that's bad news with the nation's top offense coming to Starkville. MSU's offense is a hot mess, QB situation is in disarray and they simply don't have the firepower to keep up pace with LSU. Miss. State also likes to give the ball away so that will create more opportunities for LSU to put up more points. Joe Burrow and the wide receivers are going to eat like they're at a Golden Corral buffet.
Kentucky (+24) vs. Georgia. 5:00 pm CST
Everyone expects Georgia to be 'big mad' after losing to South Carolina last week and respond with a dominating win vs. what everyone perceives as a inferior Kentucky team. I'm here to tell you that won't happen. While I don't expect Kentucky to win, they're good enough to keep this game from getting out of hand. Georgia is a one dimensional team. All they can do is run the ball. Kentucky hasn't lost any game by 20 or more points all season. Saturday shouldn't be any different. All the Wildcats have to do is load the box to at least contain the run and not fall victim to the playaction pass and they should be fine for the cover.
Friday, October 11, 2019
Itchy’s NCAAF Week 7 Picks Against The Spread 🏈💵💰🤑
FOR ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY! PLEASE BE ADVISED THAT IF YOU FOLLOW ANY OF THIS ADVICE AND DECIDE TO WAGER MONEY BASED ON ANYTHING IN THIS ARTICLE, YOU DO SO SOLEY AT YOUR OWN RISK. The author of this post is not responsible for any potential incurred losses
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This week’s crop of games will be fun to watch, but Vegas didn’t do any favors setting these lines. They have shown me why they are professionals and I’m an amateur. Trying to pick winning bets this week feels like I’m trying to slip past a bunch of Fortier students in front McDonald’s on Canal Street by myself wearing a John F. Kennedy school uniform without being noticed (if you went to high school in New Orleans, you’ll get that reference), I’m walking on THIN ICE 🤦🏾♂️. With that being said, let’s get into what I like this weekend.
Temple (+4) vs. Memphis
Memphis goes on the road to face one of the best defenses in the country. Memphis’ offense hasn’t looked like its usual ‘go up & down the field on opponents at will’ self as of late. They’ve even struggled at times against some of the worst teams in college football. Temple is exceptional at not allowing the one thing Memphis excels at - creating explosive, game changing plays. Those elements combined with the fact that Memphis might be looking ahead to a showdown with Tulane next week and I think the Owls pull this one off. If not, they at least cover the spread.
Toledo (-27) vs. Bowling Green
I know this is a huge number to swallow and I would generally advise against giving up this many points, but Bowling Green has not only lost every game this season vs. FBS competition, they’ve failed to cover each week as well, including being a 45 point underdog and losing by 52. Toledo shouldn’t have any problems controlling the pace of this game and scoring whenever they want to.
Duke (-17.5) vs. Georgia Tech
Duke played about as badly as a team could and constantly shot itself in the foot with turnovers last week, and still almost won their game. That shows a lot of character. Georgia Tech on the other hand isn’t very good at stopping the run, allowing over 200 yards on the ground. If you can’t stop the run, you’re pretty much asking the other team to beat the brakes off of you. Especially on the road. Look for the Blue Devils to roll.
Marshall (-15) vs. Old Dominion
The Thundering Herd rank 36th in the country in rushing with 205 yards per game. Additionally, ODU can’t generate anything on offense through the ground or the air and also have a knack for turning the ball over. QB Stone Smart has thrown 5 interceptions on the year and only one touchdown. That’s not a good stat to bring on the road to face a stout Marshall defense.
Wisconsin/Michigan State: over 40
We have a battle of two defensive heavyweights at Camp Randle. Wisconsin comes in with the nation’s number one total defense, giving up a little bit under 180 yards per game and 5.80 points per contest. Michigan State isn’t too far behind them, allowing 18 ppg and and 299 yards. This has all the makings of a low scoring game, until you do a little deeper digging. Jonathan Taylor is the only running back in the Heisman conversation at this point, rushing for 149 yards per game and 12 touchdowns through 6 games. Badgers QB Jack Coan is connecting on nearly 75% of his pass attemps and takes care of the ball as well. He has thrown for 9 TDs and only 1 INT so far this season. Add in the fact that this is Michigan State’s 3 road game in 4 weeks, and I see their defense eventually being worn down and allowing quite a few points. I think the Spartan offense is capable of scoring 14-17 points to easily push the total over 40. Shout out to Johnny for the assist on this one. I don’t know how I missed this total.
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This week’s crop of games will be fun to watch, but Vegas didn’t do any favors setting these lines. They have shown me why they are professionals and I’m an amateur. Trying to pick winning bets this week feels like I’m trying to slip past a bunch of Fortier students in front McDonald’s on Canal Street by myself wearing a John F. Kennedy school uniform without being noticed (if you went to high school in New Orleans, you’ll get that reference), I’m walking on THIN ICE 🤦🏾♂️. With that being said, let’s get into what I like this weekend.
Temple (+4) vs. Memphis
Memphis goes on the road to face one of the best defenses in the country. Memphis’ offense hasn’t looked like its usual ‘go up & down the field on opponents at will’ self as of late. They’ve even struggled at times against some of the worst teams in college football. Temple is exceptional at not allowing the one thing Memphis excels at - creating explosive, game changing plays. Those elements combined with the fact that Memphis might be looking ahead to a showdown with Tulane next week and I think the Owls pull this one off. If not, they at least cover the spread.
Toledo (-27) vs. Bowling Green
I know this is a huge number to swallow and I would generally advise against giving up this many points, but Bowling Green has not only lost every game this season vs. FBS competition, they’ve failed to cover each week as well, including being a 45 point underdog and losing by 52. Toledo shouldn’t have any problems controlling the pace of this game and scoring whenever they want to.
Duke (-17.5) vs. Georgia Tech
Duke played about as badly as a team could and constantly shot itself in the foot with turnovers last week, and still almost won their game. That shows a lot of character. Georgia Tech on the other hand isn’t very good at stopping the run, allowing over 200 yards on the ground. If you can’t stop the run, you’re pretty much asking the other team to beat the brakes off of you. Especially on the road. Look for the Blue Devils to roll.
Marshall (-15) vs. Old Dominion
The Thundering Herd rank 36th in the country in rushing with 205 yards per game. Additionally, ODU can’t generate anything on offense through the ground or the air and also have a knack for turning the ball over. QB Stone Smart has thrown 5 interceptions on the year and only one touchdown. That’s not a good stat to bring on the road to face a stout Marshall defense.
Wisconsin/Michigan State: over 40
We have a battle of two defensive heavyweights at Camp Randle. Wisconsin comes in with the nation’s number one total defense, giving up a little bit under 180 yards per game and 5.80 points per contest. Michigan State isn’t too far behind them, allowing 18 ppg and and 299 yards. This has all the makings of a low scoring game, until you do a little deeper digging. Jonathan Taylor is the only running back in the Heisman conversation at this point, rushing for 149 yards per game and 12 touchdowns through 6 games. Badgers QB Jack Coan is connecting on nearly 75% of his pass attemps and takes care of the ball as well. He has thrown for 9 TDs and only 1 INT so far this season. Add in the fact that this is Michigan State’s 3 road game in 4 weeks, and I see their defense eventually being worn down and allowing quite a few points. I think the Spartan offense is capable of scoring 14-17 points to easily push the total over 40. Shout out to Johnny for the assist on this one. I don’t know how I missed this total.
Sunday, October 6, 2019
Itchy’s NFL Week 5 Picks Against The Spread 🏈💵💰🤑
FOR ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY! PLEASE BE ADVISED THAT IF YOU FOLLOW ANY OF THIS ADVICE AND DECIDE TO WAGER MONEY BASED ON ANYTHING IN THIS ARTICLE, YOU DO SO SOLEY AT YOUR OWN RISK. The author of this post is not responsible for any potential incurred losses.
This week’s NFL games look pretty enticing on the surface. That being said, you dont want to get too ahead of yourself and overreact to how these lines look. Let’s get to winning some money
Bears (-6) vs. Raiders (in London, England)
Is it just me or do the Bears look a lot better without Mitch Tribisky? 🤔... when Chase Daniel took over in relief duty, Chicago’s offense was a lot more potent. Add in the fact that it is a shorter trip to London from Chicago than from the west coast and I feel comfortable laying the points.
Falcons @ Texans (-4)
Dont look now but things are about to get a lot worse for the Falcons before they get better. After losing two straight games, they now have to try to find a way to contain DeShaun Watson. Atlanta also has one of the league’s worst pass defense and they have to go up against one of the best WR groups in the NFL. This game might get ugly.
Cowboys (-3) vs. Packers
Despite losing to the Saints (one of the best teams in the NFL) last week, Dallas’ defense didnt allow a touchdown. They now get to play at home against a Green Bay team coming off their first loss of the season. I expect the Cowboys defense to play lights out again this afternoon. Aaron Rogers will also miss his best receiver who is out with an injury.
Chiefs vs. Colts (+11)
I think the Colts are a lot better than their performance last week and this big number is an overreaction to last week’s surprising loss to the Raiders (at home). Indy is still a playoff caliber team and Jacoby Brissett is a very underrated QB who doesn’t get the credit he deserves for having this team 2-2 at this point. The Chiefs will look to blow this game open at home in primetime, but with a somewhat leaky defense. the Colts will be able to keep pace and cover the double digit spread.
Cardinals (+3) @ Bengals
Both these teams are winless and somebody has to come up with a victory today. Cincinnati doesn’t look like a good team at all right now and are struggling without their best player (AJ Green). The Cardinals aren’t a good team either but I have more confidence in their ability to move the ball down the field and put points on the board when they need to.
This week’s NFL games look pretty enticing on the surface. That being said, you dont want to get too ahead of yourself and overreact to how these lines look. Let’s get to winning some money
Bears (-6) vs. Raiders (in London, England)
Is it just me or do the Bears look a lot better without Mitch Tribisky? 🤔... when Chase Daniel took over in relief duty, Chicago’s offense was a lot more potent. Add in the fact that it is a shorter trip to London from Chicago than from the west coast and I feel comfortable laying the points.
Falcons @ Texans (-4)
Dont look now but things are about to get a lot worse for the Falcons before they get better. After losing two straight games, they now have to try to find a way to contain DeShaun Watson. Atlanta also has one of the league’s worst pass defense and they have to go up against one of the best WR groups in the NFL. This game might get ugly.
Cowboys (-3) vs. Packers
Despite losing to the Saints (one of the best teams in the NFL) last week, Dallas’ defense didnt allow a touchdown. They now get to play at home against a Green Bay team coming off their first loss of the season. I expect the Cowboys defense to play lights out again this afternoon. Aaron Rogers will also miss his best receiver who is out with an injury.
Chiefs vs. Colts (+11)
I think the Colts are a lot better than their performance last week and this big number is an overreaction to last week’s surprising loss to the Raiders (at home). Indy is still a playoff caliber team and Jacoby Brissett is a very underrated QB who doesn’t get the credit he deserves for having this team 2-2 at this point. The Chiefs will look to blow this game open at home in primetime, but with a somewhat leaky defense. the Colts will be able to keep pace and cover the double digit spread.
Cardinals (+3) @ Bengals
Both these teams are winless and somebody has to come up with a victory today. Cincinnati doesn’t look like a good team at all right now and are struggling without their best player (AJ Green). The Cardinals aren’t a good team either but I have more confidence in their ability to move the ball down the field and put points on the board when they need to.
Friday, October 4, 2019
Itchy’s NCAAF Week 6 Picks Against The Spread 💵🤑🏈
FOR ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY! PLEASE BE ADVISED THAT IF YOU FOLLOW ANY OF THIS ADVICE AND DECIDE TO WAGER MONEY BASED ON ANYTHING IN THIS ARTICLE, YOU DO SO SOLEY AT YOUR OWN RISK. The author of this post is not responsible for any potential incurred losses.
Last week, I went 2-2 in my college picks. Not bad, but also not what I expected. I want to make up for that this week and then some. So without further ado, here are my best bets for week 6’s slate of games.
West Virginia vs. Texas (-10.5)
For those thinking that this might be a close game, I’ve got news for you: This isn’t the same West Virginia team you’ve grown accustomed to over the past decade or so. They currently have the worst offense in the Big 12 (even worse than Kansas and Iowa State) and they haven't been able to establish a running game. Sam Ehlinger & co. should be able to carve their defense up and the Mountaineer offense won't have enough firepower to keep pace.
Auburn (-3) @ Florida
Auburn is averaging 251 rushing yards per game, led by RB JaTarvious Whitlow who is averaging more than 5 yards per carry. True freshman QB Bo Nix has had some growing pains as the starter but has been gradually improving every week so far. With that being said, Nix he has yet to face a defense as talented as Florida . This is also Nix’s first true road game in a SEC environment so that may play a factor into his performance. Auburn’s defense has also been playing lights out. Their defensive line has been as good as advertised, allowing less than 3 yards per carry. Florida’s defense is the real deal as well, but two of their best players (DE Jabari Zuniga and corner CJ Henderson) are easing their way back into the lineup after injuries. This will also be Florida backup QB Kyle Trask’s first true test against an elite defense. I don't expect him to pass it.
UCONN vs. South Florida (-10.5)
I know last week I said that Charlie Strong wasn’t a good coach and that South Florida wasn’t really a good team, and I still believe that. But this week, they play one of the worst teams in all of college football. South Florida QB Blake Barnett hasn’t played great but lining up against the Huskies’ defense should be a stat padding game to build his confidence. The Bulls should be able to do whatever they want at will against a UCONN defense that struggles to stop anybody, giving up 36 points per game. For at least one week, South Florida will look the part of one the Group of 5’s best teams.
Oklahoma State (-9.5) vs. Texas Tech
Oklahoma State (-9.5) vs. Texas Tech
Oklahoma State brings it's offense on the road to face Texas Tech in Lubbock. As quiet as it's kept, the Cowboys have one of the best RBs in the country that no one knows about in Chuba Hubbard. He’s averaging 187 yards per game on the ground and is going up against a defense that has allowed over 500 yards of rushing in the past 2 weeks alone. That is NOT good for the Red Raiders. Barring some type of injury, I don't see Tech being able to stop OK State in any facet.
Maryland (-13) @ Rutgers
The Terps got off to a really fast start this season before getting slowed down the past 2 weeks. I look for their offense to com out and ’go for the gusto’ early against a Rutgers team that just gave up 59 points last week and then fired their head coach. The Scarlet Knights also have one of the worst defenses in the B10 (Big Ten Conference). This should be an easy cover for Maryland.
Sunday, September 29, 2019
Itchy’s NFL Week 5 Picks Against the Spread
FOR ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY!
In all honesty, this week’s slate of games was kind of difficult. I’m not as consistently good at picking NFL games as I am at picking college football games. But what it does is force me to do more research to try to make the best decisions possible. So with that being said, here’s what I came up with for today’s games.
Chiefs (-6.5) 🔐 @ Lions
This is Patrick Mahomes first NFL game in an indoor stadium. Combine that with the fact that he’s already on pace to throw for over 6,000 yards and it spells trouble for the Lions. A hip injury to Matt Stafford that has is availability questionable further puts Detroit’s chances to keep this game close in doubt. I feel EXTREMELY CONFIDENT that Kansas City will cover this spread. I’m actually surprised that the number isn’t higher considering all the circumstances.
Panthers/Texans: Over 47.5
The Panthers’ offense looks like a rejuvenated unit with Kyle Allen under center in place of the injured Cam Newtow. They put up 413 total yards and 38 points last week. On the flip side, Houston’s offense is averaging a little under 23 point per game, but that includes a 13 point performance against a very good Jags defense. They’ve scored at least 25 points every other week. They’re going against a Panthers defense that has struggled thus far and isnt the same vaunted ‘D’ that we’ve know in the past. Expect both teams to light the scoreboard up.
Falcons vs. Titans (+4.5)
You never really know what Falcons team you’ll get from week to week. They’re like the NFL’s version of Jekyl & Hyde. One thing I do know about this league is that you don’t win games when you turn the ball over. Atlanta has 7 turnovers thus far this season and they’re going up against a very stingy Titans defense that has a knack for taking the ball away from their opponents.. While Tennessee’s offense is somewhat inconsistent at times,, they should be able to pound the ball with Derrick Henry & that’ll set up the playaction pass. Even if the Falcons get a win, I dont see it being by a large margin.
Giants (-3) vs. Redskins
A lot of people are wondering if the Daniel Jones hype is real. That can’t be fully answer after only seeing one game, but one thing is for sure: he’s going up against a Redskins defense that has given up at least 30 points every week. The Skins are looking to avoid their first 0-4 start in 19 years and will play motivated, but it won’t be enough to win on the road.
In all honesty, this week’s slate of games was kind of difficult. I’m not as consistently good at picking NFL games as I am at picking college football games. But what it does is force me to do more research to try to make the best decisions possible. So with that being said, here’s what I came up with for today’s games.
Chiefs (-6.5) 🔐 @ Lions
This is Patrick Mahomes first NFL game in an indoor stadium. Combine that with the fact that he’s already on pace to throw for over 6,000 yards and it spells trouble for the Lions. A hip injury to Matt Stafford that has is availability questionable further puts Detroit’s chances to keep this game close in doubt. I feel EXTREMELY CONFIDENT that Kansas City will cover this spread. I’m actually surprised that the number isn’t higher considering all the circumstances.
Panthers/Texans: Over 47.5
The Panthers’ offense looks like a rejuvenated unit with Kyle Allen under center in place of the injured Cam Newtow. They put up 413 total yards and 38 points last week. On the flip side, Houston’s offense is averaging a little under 23 point per game, but that includes a 13 point performance against a very good Jags defense. They’ve scored at least 25 points every other week. They’re going against a Panthers defense that has struggled thus far and isnt the same vaunted ‘D’ that we’ve know in the past. Expect both teams to light the scoreboard up.
Falcons vs. Titans (+4.5)
You never really know what Falcons team you’ll get from week to week. They’re like the NFL’s version of Jekyl & Hyde. One thing I do know about this league is that you don’t win games when you turn the ball over. Atlanta has 7 turnovers thus far this season and they’re going up against a very stingy Titans defense that has a knack for taking the ball away from their opponents.. While Tennessee’s offense is somewhat inconsistent at times,, they should be able to pound the ball with Derrick Henry & that’ll set up the playaction pass. Even if the Falcons get a win, I dont see it being by a large margin.
Giants (-3) vs. Redskins
A lot of people are wondering if the Daniel Jones hype is real. That can’t be fully answer after only seeing one game, but one thing is for sure: he’s going up against a Redskins defense that has given up at least 30 points every week. The Skins are looking to avoid their first 0-4 start in 19 years and will play motivated, but it won’t be enough to win on the road.
Friday, September 27, 2019
Itchy’s NCAAF Week 5 picks Against The Spread 💵💵💵
FOR ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY!!!
Okay, okay, okay. I know y’all have been waiting for my college picks so here they are. Be sure to follow these picks if you want to win some money and ride on 20" chrome this weekend. If you don’t, then that’s all on you playboi!
South Florida vs. SMU (-7.5)
SMU has gotten off to a 4-0 start and has the 17th ranked offense in the country, averaging 43 points per game. South Florida isn’t a good team and Charlie Strong is proving how mediocre of a coach he is. This might get ugly. Lay the points.
Virginia (+12.5) @ Notre Dame
The Cavs come in with the country’s 12th best rush defense, allowing 2.2 ypc. Notre Dame does have the edge in the passing game but look for Fightin’ Irish QB Ian Look to be under constant pressure all day as the UVA front 7 has made a living in their opponents’ backfield through the first 4 games of the season. Virginia will play ball control to keep the game close. They may even pull off the upset. Take the points. And if you’re feeling super risky, take UVA on the money line. 😎
Marshall vs. Cincinnati (-3.5)
Both these teams have pretty good run defenses, so dont expect a bunch of scoring. Even thought this may hold true, Cincinnati is the more talented team. The Bearcats should be able to keep Marshall’s offense off the field with their defense and also control the clock with their running game.
Louisiana Tech (-9.5) @ Rice
Rice is horrible. Need I say more? They are winless and their offense can’t seem to get going. Louisiana Tech, on the other hand, seems to be hitting their stride at the right time and are going on the road to face an inferior opponent. This is a perfect opportunity for a confidence booster before they get into the meat of their conference schedule.
Okay, okay, okay. I know y’all have been waiting for my college picks so here they are. Be sure to follow these picks if you want to win some money and ride on 20" chrome this weekend. If you don’t, then that’s all on you playboi!
South Florida vs. SMU (-7.5)
SMU has gotten off to a 4-0 start and has the 17th ranked offense in the country, averaging 43 points per game. South Florida isn’t a good team and Charlie Strong is proving how mediocre of a coach he is. This might get ugly. Lay the points.
Virginia (+12.5) @ Notre Dame
The Cavs come in with the country’s 12th best rush defense, allowing 2.2 ypc. Notre Dame does have the edge in the passing game but look for Fightin’ Irish QB Ian Look to be under constant pressure all day as the UVA front 7 has made a living in their opponents’ backfield through the first 4 games of the season. Virginia will play ball control to keep the game close. They may even pull off the upset. Take the points. And if you’re feeling super risky, take UVA on the money line. 😎
Marshall vs. Cincinnati (-3.5)
Both these teams have pretty good run defenses, so dont expect a bunch of scoring. Even thought this may hold true, Cincinnati is the more talented team. The Bearcats should be able to keep Marshall’s offense off the field with their defense and also control the clock with their running game.
Louisiana Tech (-9.5) @ Rice
Rice is horrible. Need I say more? They are winless and their offense can’t seem to get going. Louisiana Tech, on the other hand, seems to be hitting their stride at the right time and are going on the road to face an inferior opponent. This is a perfect opportunity for a confidence booster before they get into the meat of their conference schedule.
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