Last week, I didn't release any NFL picks. I really got caught up in some other things which prevented me from giving my best at making picks and I didn't want to send y'all out there head first on some dumb ish. That being said, I'm back this week with some winners! Let's get it in.
Jaguars (-4) @ Bengals
Cincinnati has the worst rushing defense in the league and that's bad new for them as Leonard Fournette (the AFC's leading rusher) and the Jags come into town. Gardner Minshew finally looked like a rookie last week against the Saints but I fully expect him to return to himself against a Bengals defense that is also banged up in the secondary and can't get a consistent pass rush to pressure Minshew. The Jags might win this one by 2 TDs or more.
Dolphins (+17) @ Bills
Everybody & their maw knows that Miami isn't good. But this is a terribly huge number to swallow, all things considered. For starters, the total score sits at 39. If you're going to have one team as a 17 point favorite, the total should be somewhere in the mid-to-upper 40s (if not somewhere in the 50s). Furthermore, the Bills' calling card ISN'T offense, as they rank 25th in scoring. Miami is also starting Ryan Fitzpatrick (aka "Fitzmagic") so that should give the Dolphins' offense a spark to keep it within 2.5 TDs. Don't buy into the "bet against Miami every week" hype. At least not this week.
Ravens (+3.5) @ Seahawks
Seattle is 5-1 and are playing at home. When you take a closer look, the only team they’ve played with a winning record, they lost to (Saints).... at home. Additionally, of all of the average to bad teams they beat, the Cardinals (who are horrible) was the only convincing win. Russell Wilson might be the best QB in the league not named Tom Brady or Drew Brees, but he doesn’t have a ton of help and it will show today. The Seahawks’ defense is ranked 25th against the run and Ravens RB Mark Ingram and QB Lamar Jackson will have a field day. The Ravens go into Seattle and win outright.
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