Itchy's NCAAF Week 8 Picks Against The Spread 🏈💵💰🤑

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If I had my way, this week's picks would be sponsored by Colgate so that I could get the nasty taste of last week's picks out of my mouth. I went 2-3, which isn't the worst, but the games I got wrong, I bombed tremendously. So with that in mind, I started to research a little earlier. My goal for this week is to go at least 4-1 (if not 5-0).

South Carolina vs. Florida (-5.5).11:00 am CST
Both these teams come off very emotional games last week: South Carolina pulling off what might be the upset of the year vs. Georgia (thanks in large part to 4 turnovers) and Florida pushing LSU to the limit before finally fading late. When this type of scenario occurs, I typically like to take the more talented team. Florida also wants to get the nasty taste of la As mentioned earlier, USC beat Georgia because they got 4 gift-wrapped turnovers. Without that, that game would not have been close. UF quarterback Kyle Trask also showed me a lot by going into a hostile environment last week and passing for over 300 yards. He faces a group of South Carolina DBs that aren't great. They allow 260 yards per game and have given up 11 TDs through the air. USC QB Ryan Hilinski is also doubtful to play after suffering a concussion last week. Florida rolls on the road.

Costal Carolina/Georgia Southern Total Score: Over 45.5. 2:00 CST
This is a pretty low total and both defenses have struggled this season, both giving up over 25 points per game. Georgia Southern has only scored under 20 points once this season and that was against LSU (go figure). Both teams rank in the top 25 in rushing yards, so that is cause for concern for the clock being chewed up, but Coastal Carolina has shown that they can bust games open with long touchdown runs, which I expect at least 2 of vs. a Georgia Southern defense that gives up over 200 yards per game on the ground. As long as these teams don't figure out a way to not score once they get into the red zone, this total should easily go over. Light rain is in the forecast, but both teams are run oriented so the weather should NOT play much of a factor.

LSU (-18.5) @ Mississippi State. 2:30 pm CST
Usually Miss. State gets up for this game and plays LSU pretty tough and close. People may feel like this is a 'trap' game for LSU because they have Auburn and then Alabama on the horizon. That simply won't be the case. Mississippi State's defense is a shell of its former self and that's bad news with the nation's top offense coming to Starkville. MSU's offense is a hot mess, QB situation is in disarray and they simply don't have the firepower to keep up pace with LSU. Miss. State also likes to give the ball away so that will create more opportunities for LSU to put up more points. Joe Burrow and the wide receivers are going to eat like they're at a Golden Corral buffet.

Kentucky (+24) vs. Georgia. 5:00 pm CST
Everyone expects Georgia to be 'big mad' after losing to South Carolina last week and respond with a dominating win vs. what everyone perceives as a inferior Kentucky team. I'm here to tell you that won't happen. While I don't expect Kentucky to win, they're good enough to keep this game from getting out of hand. Georgia is a one dimensional team. All they can do is run the ball. Kentucky hasn't lost any game by 20 or more points all season. Saturday shouldn't be any different. All the Wildcats have to do is load the box to at least contain the run and not fall victim to the playaction pass and they should be fine for the cover.