Itchy’s NCAAF Week 13 Picks Against the Spread

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Last week’s NCAAF record: 4-0
Season NCAAF record: 21-10

Last week was really good for me, so I’m just gonna try to keep up with this momentum and carry it into the end of the regular season and finish on a high note. I must admit, this week I didn’t feel good about a lot of games so this might be an ‘abbreviated’ schedule for me lol.

ECU (-13.5) @ UConn

This is pretty much a situation where I’m picking against UConnof . Their defense is terrible and while ECU’s offense hasn’t consistently put up points in bunches the entire season, they have put up 43 (against a very good Cincinnati defense) and 51 points the past 2 weeks and I expect them to ‘turn up’ on the Huskies. They’ve found out how to find the end zone and UConn will have trouble keeping up.

Arkansas State/Georgia Southern: over 54.5

Idk exactly what is going on with this total. The line opened up at 59.5 and since then, it has dropped. I’ve checked the weather and that won’t play a factor. On top of that, you have one of the country’s top passing offenses in Arkansas State going against one of the worst passing defenses. On the flip side, you have one of the best running teams in Georgia Southern (that also get a ton of chunk yards and ‘big gains’) going up against one of the nation’s worst run defenses. I’ve seen a lot of other experts pick the under in this game and I don’t understand why. I guess I’m just going to have to be proven wrong because I’m all ‘over’ this one.

Texas A&M (+13.5) @ Georgia

This is the first time these teams will meet since TAMU joined the SEC 8 years ago. When I look at these teams, I see a lot of similarities. Both teams like to grind and shorten the clock out with their respective running games and rely on their defenses to stymie their opponents. The main difference is, Georgia probably has better players on their team. Still, I think 2 touchdowns is a bit much to give up, especially for a Georgia team that hasn’t really been able to break games open with their offense. Jimbo Fisher is big game coach so I expect him to put his players in position to keep this game close throughout. Kellen Mond will also have a decent day against this Dawg defense.