Itchy’s NFL Week 12 Picks Against the Spread

FOR ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE BE ADVISED THAT IF YOU FOLLOW ANY OF THIS ADVICE AND DECIDE TO WAGER ANY MONEY BASED ON ANYTHING WRITTEN IN THIS ARTICLE, YOU DO SO SOLEY AT YOUR OWN RISK. The author of this post is NOT RESPONSIBLE for ANY POTENTIAL INCURRED LOSSES.

Last week’s NFL record: 1-1-1
Season NFL record of released picks: 8-3-1

This week is looking real spooky! There are a lot of terrible games and Las Vegas isn’t making it any easier to pick winners, but that’s what makes this shit fun and more gratifying when you do win. So before I go on & on about how hard this week is, I’ma just get into what I feel are good bets for today.

Giants @ Bears: over 40.5

At first glance, I know this looks terrifying, especially with Chicago’s offense looking aweful at times. But one thing that sticks out to me about this game is the fact that Bears LB Danny Trevathan isn’t playing. That should be enough of an absence for the Giants’ offense (which is sneaky good) to put up at least 20 points, provided they can withstand Khalil Mack and the Chicago pass rush. The Giants’ defense is pretty bad too so this should be a spot where the Bears can put some points up and actually look like a good offense for at least this week.

Falcons (-3.5) vs Buccaneers

I’ve made some good money betting against the Falcons for the first half of the season. Well today that changes. Since Dan Quinn has re-assigned some of his coaches around, Atlanta has LOOKED like a totally different team. Make no mistake, they’re still not good, but they just so happen to have the fortune of playing a terrible Tampa team that gives up about 30 points every single week. Additionally, Jamies Winston can’t seem to stop throwing passes to the wrong team. The Falcons should be able to win this game by more than a field goal

SN: as a Saints fan, I’m going to absolutely HATE rooting for the Falcons today lol.

Browns (-10.5) vs. Dolphins

Cleveland is obviously the better team and should win this game convincingly, but honestly this huge number scares me a bit. Even so, I just don’t see how Miami is going to be able to put points up. Even without Myles Garrett and Olivier Vernon, the Browns’ defense should be able to contain the Dolphins’ offense. On the other side of the ball, the Browns should be able to exploit Miami’s weak front 7 and that should set up the passing game. So look for Odell and Jarvis Landry to both have big days.

Itchy’s NCAAF Week 13 Picks Against the Spread

FOR ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE BE ADVISED THAT IF YOU FOLLOW ANY OF THIS ADVICE AND DECIDE TO WAGER ANY MONEY BASED ON ANYTHING WRITTEN IN THIS ARTICLE, YOU DO SO SOLEY AT YOUR OWN RISK. The author of this post is NOT RESPONSIBLE for ANY POTENTIAL INCURRED LOSSES.
Last week’s NCAAF record: 4-0
Season NCAAF record: 21-10

Last week was really good for me, so I’m just gonna try to keep up with this momentum and carry it into the end of the regular season and finish on a high note. I must admit, this week I didn’t feel good about a lot of games so this might be an ‘abbreviated’ schedule for me lol.

ECU (-13.5) @ UConn

This is pretty much a situation where I’m picking against UConnof . Their defense is terrible and while ECU’s offense hasn’t consistently put up points in bunches the entire season, they have put up 43 (against a very good Cincinnati defense) and 51 points the past 2 weeks and I expect them to ‘turn up’ on the Huskies. They’ve found out how to find the end zone and UConn will have trouble keeping up.

Arkansas State/Georgia Southern: over 54.5

Idk exactly what is going on with this total. The line opened up at 59.5 and since then, it has dropped. I’ve checked the weather and that won’t play a factor. On top of that, you have one of the country’s top passing offenses in Arkansas State going against one of the worst passing defenses. On the flip side, you have one of the best running teams in Georgia Southern (that also get a ton of chunk yards and ‘big gains’) going up against one of the nation’s worst run defenses. I’ve seen a lot of other experts pick the under in this game and I don’t understand why. I guess I’m just going to have to be proven wrong because I’m all ‘over’ this one.

Texas A&M (+13.5) @ Georgia

This is the first time these teams will meet since TAMU joined the SEC 8 years ago. When I look at these teams, I see a lot of similarities. Both teams like to grind and shorten the clock out with their respective running games and rely on their defenses to stymie their opponents. The main difference is, Georgia probably has better players on their team. Still, I think 2 touchdowns is a bit much to give up, especially for a Georgia team that hasn’t really been able to break games open with their offense. Jimbo Fisher is big game coach so I expect him to put his players in position to keep this game close throughout. Kellen Mond will also have a decent day against this Dawg defense.

Itchy’s NFL Week 11 Picks Against the Spread

FOR ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE BE ADVISED THAT IF YOU FOLLOW ANY OF THIS ADVICE AND DECIDE TO WAGER ANY MONEY BASED ON ANYTHING WRITTEN IN THIS ARTICLE, YOU DO SO SOLEY AT YOUR OWN RISK. The author of this post is NOT RESPONSIBLE for ANY POTENTIAL INCURRED LOSSES.
Last week, I didnt have any NFL picks at all so I need to bounce back in a big way.

Texans/Ravens: over 49

These are two of the NFL’s better offenses going up against two mediocre defense. Both teams can run the ball really well and the Texans know how to push the ball downfield. Will Fuller being limited in practice this week has me concerned and it looks like he will not play, so I expect the Texans to rely heavily on DeAndre Hopkins ans he should have a big day. A lot of points should be scored in this game.

Bills (-6.5) @ Dolphins

The last time these teams played, I believe I took the Dolphins. Since then they’ve traded away their best running back (Kenyon Drake), another is injured and their best wide receiver (Devonte Parker) is hurt as well and won’t play today. They’re also going against one of the best defenses in the league in Buffalo. I don’t see how Miami keeps this game within a touchdown once the Bills get going.



49ers vs. Cardinals (+10)

When these teams met a few weeks ago, Arizona nearly upset the 49ers. This time around, I think the Cardinals have another shot at winning. They get their best RB (David Johnson) back to go along with newly acquired Kenyon Drake to go against a 49ers defense that is pretty bad against the run. San Fran also has some key injuries on offense with Emmanuel Sanders and George Kittle. Add in the fact that these are divisional opponents that know each other well and I don’t see Frisco running away with with a huge win.

Itchy’s NCAAF Week 12 Picks Against the Spread

FOR ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE BE ADVISED THAT IF YOU FOLLOW ANY OF THIS ADVICE AND DECIDE TO WAGER ANY MONEY BASED ON ANYTHING WRITTEN IN THIS ARTICLE, YOU DO SO SOLEY AT YOUR OWN RISK. The author of this post is NOT RESPONSIBLE for ANY POTENTIAL INCURRED LOSSES.
Last week’s NCAAF record: 3-2
Season NCAAF record: 17-10


Last week, my 'lock of the year' came through (LSU/Bama over - as expected) but overall I didn't have that great of a day in college. On the surface, this week seems to look a lot easier with more favorable match-ups and spreads and totals that look like they make sense on paper. See, that's the thing with Vegas, they've made billions of dollars and built tons of casinos & sportsbooks by people thinking exactly like this. So that's why I had to curb my enthusiasm and concentrate on the research as opposed to what just looks good at first glance. Anyways, let's get into this week's winners.

Penn State/Indiana - over 55

When people look at this game, they'll figure Penn State should roll over Indiana. At a closer glance, you'll notice that the Hooisers have one of the best offenses in the B10, averaging almost 32 points per game (31.75 to be exact). Penn State's defense has been pretty stingy but they haven't really played anybody with a good offense, so their numbers and stats can be a bit misleading. I would argue that Indiana might be the best offense they'll see all year up to this point. On the flip side, Indiana's defense won't be able to stop Penn State from doing whatever it is they want to do so 8 TDs or 56 points shouldn't be a problem to get to.

Florida State/Alabama State - over 53

For as much as people talk about FSU 'falling off', it is not because of their offense. They consistently put up anywhere between 25-40 points per game against quality opponents. While Alabama State does have a pretty good defense by FCS standards and pushed UAB to the limit in week one, they will be no match for James Blackmon, Cam Aykers and the Seminole offense. For at least one week, Florida State will look like an elite program again. The bottom line is, Florida State needs this win to become bowl eligible because they won't win next week against Florida. They really need to win this game in dominating fashion to impress some of the bowl organizations to pick them to play in their game in December, so they'll come into this game focused and ready to rock. FSU might put up 50 by themselves.

Troy (-7) @ Texas State

I've been watching Troy for a few weeks now and one thing is for certain, they can put up a lot of points. I don't know if I can say the same for Texas State, who has only scored over 20 points twice this season, and against 2 of the worst teams in college football. Troy's defense is vulnerable and is liable to give up points in bunches, but I don't see the Wildcats being much of a threat to keep this game within a touchdown as the Trojans will score at will.


Texas A&M (-11) vs. South Carolina

The Aggies get a home game after a bye against a South Carolina team that is flat out not good and being decimated by injuries. The Gamecocks are pulling all their freshmen and the veterans who have played less than 4 games to preserve their redshirts (in anticipation for next season and beyond). Furthermore, they are starting 2 walk-ons at wide receiver. Ouch. TAMU will roll @ home. I feel comfortable laying the point. Kellen Mond & co. will roll @ home.

Locker Room Sports Podcast: LSU vs Alabama 2019 Preview

Host Quentin Bienemy aka “Itchy” is joined by close personal friend & Alabama football fan (🙄) Malli Benjamin to preview the 2019 game between the LSU Tigers and the Alabama Crimson Tide. You don't want to miss this entertaining yet informative podcast. You won't get a preview like this ANYWHERE ELSE. Be sure to tune in and share with a friend. Available for listen on Soundcloud and on the Apple iTunes podcast section.

Soundcloud link

Apple iTunes link

Itchy's NCAAF Week 10 Picks Against the Spread 🏈💵💰🤑

FOR ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE BE ADVISED THAT IF YOU FOLLOW ANY OF THIS ADVICE AND DECIDE TO WAGER ANY MONEY BASED ON ANYTHING WRITTEN IN THIS ARTICLE, YOU DO SO SOLEY AT YOUR OWN RISK. The author of this post is NOT RESPONSIBLE for any potential incurred losses.

Ok, I'm back for another fun (and pocket filling) weekend of college football. This week, there aren't a ton of exciting games to choose from and the lines reflect the mostly ugly matchups. Again, this forces people to think longer and harder before putting their money down, which can sometimes lead to second guessing and losse. Hopefully that won’t be the case with me, so with that being said, lets get into these picks.

Buffalo/Eastern Michigan; over 50

Buffalo has one of the nation's best running games, averaging 221 yards per game on the ground. They've scored a little bit over 26 points per contest while EMU's defense gives up 32 points per game. On the flip side, Eastern Michigan has the 24th ranked passing game in the country and average nearly 28 points per game, while Buffalo's defense gives up 23.4 points. Neither team's defense is particularly good and both offenses rank inside the top 25 in at least one aspect of offense. I don't see why the scoreboard won't be lit up for this one. It should easily go over.


Liberty (-24) vs. UMass

Typically, I wouldn't bet a game like this at such a huge number, especially considering that Liberty DIDN'T get the job done last week against a bad Rutgers team (disclaimer: Rutgers IS bad but they're still in a Power 5 conference). Well this week, Liberty has a chance to redeem themselves and show that they're on the right track. They face an even worse UMass team that has only won one game and all of their defeats have come from average to (other) bad teams. On top of that, they've lost each game by an average of 32 points. Liberty is ARGUABLY the most talented team they'll see all year up to this point. This might get ugly. Lay the points.

Troy (-1) @ Coastal Carolina

Troy has one of the best passing games in the entire country. QB Kaleb Barker averages 309 yards per game (good for 35th in the nation). The Trojans have lost 2 of the last 3 and got gashed for 300 yards on the ground last week, but that was an anomaly against a good Georgia Southern running team. On offense, Coastal Carolina can run the ball but I think Troy will be motivated to show they can stop or at least slow down the run after last week’s embarrassing performance. On the other side of the ball, Coastal can’t stop the run or the pass and they have given up a little bit under 40 points per game over the past month. Look for Troy to win and cover this small spread.

Florida (+6.5) vs Georgia

This is a big rivalry game with HUGE SEC East implications. The winner of this game will most likely represent the Eastern division in the SEC Championship Game in December. Florida's offense, led by Kyle Trask (who has thrown 14 TDs since taking over for injured Felipe Franks) is hitting their stride at the right time. The Gators’ defense will also get back 2 defensive studs - Jabari Zuniga and Johnathan Greenard - that should bolster an already stout defensive unit and I don’t think Georgia has the firepower to pull away from any decent team. I think Florida is better than Georgia this year and they have a very good chance to win this game outright, but to play it 'safe' just take the points.

‘Bargin bin’ picks:

So since this week’s games don’t look appealing, I decided to have a little fun with the schedule. So you know when you go to Walmart and in the entertainment section you see a bin full of old DVDs that are super cheap, well this is kind of a similar concept, except I’ll just have picks instead of DVDs lol. I won’t give any analysis as to why, it’s just basically me eyeballing spreads and totals and picking a winner on the spot. Of course, this won’t count for or against my record. You’re basically just rummaging through a pile to see what you can find

Texas A&M (-38.5) vs. UTSA
Texas A&M/UTSA: over 53
Akron (+6) vs Bowling Green
Notre Dame (-17.5) vs. Virginia Tech
Miami (+3) vs. Florida State
Tulane/Tulsa: over 62.5
Washington/Utah: under 47.5 (this goes against everything I believe in, but hey 🤷🏾‍♂️)
SMU/Memphis: over 70
Fresno/Hawaii: over 69.5